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Lender Caution and More Selective New Account Growth Drive Hong Kong Consumer Credit Dynamics
Against a backdrop of positive macroeconomic indicators in Hong Kong, including a 3.3% growth in GDP and a 7.5% year-over-year (YoY) growth in exports1, the local credit market remained healthy during Q2 2024. Although origination growth slowed somewhat across all credit products apart from revolving lines, consumer balances on existing credit facilities increased during Q2 2024 as consumers used credit to fund summer travel and offshore spending, aligned to the trends observed in the tourism sector2.
Across all credit products, the consumer-level delinquency rate – measured as 60 or more days past due (DPD) on any account – slightly increased by two basis points (bps) YoY to 0.31%. The marginal deterioration in repayment performance was primarily observed in the unsecured personal loans and revolving lines portfolios. Specifically for personal loan, account-level 60+ DPD rates increased by 5 bps YoY to 0.86% in Q2 2024, and balance-level delinquencies were up 10 bps to 0.52%. In response to these increases, personal loan lenders have scaled back on new account originations over the past year.
A noteworthy trend in Hong Kong is the increasing dominance of virtual banks in the revolving lines market, where they accounted for 69% of new account originations in Q1 2024, up from 49% in Q1 2023. This shift indicates that virtual banks are rapidly gaining market share from traditional banks and money lenders, likely due to their ability to offer more convenient and accessible services.
*Originations reported one quarter in arrears due to data lag and reflects Q1 2024 volumes. Growth reflects movement between Q1 2023 and Q1 2024 for year-over-year comparison.
“Deteriorations in payment performance, while modest, suggest a concern about repayment capabilities within certain risk segments, particularly in the current high interest rate environment. Lenders should remain vigilant and consider implementing proactive measures to manage credit risk, such as monitoring consumer performance across all obligations and implementing early risk indicators.”
- Weihan Sun, Principal of Research and Consulting for Asia Pacific at TransUnion
About the Hong Kong Industry Insights Report
TransUnion’s quarterly Hong Kong Industry Insights Report provides in-depth, statistical information drawn from its regional consumer credit database, aggregated across virtually every active credit file on record. Each file contains hundreds of credit variables that illustrate consumer credit usage and performance. Entities across industries can subscribe to and leverage the Industry Insights Report to analyse market dynamics throughout an entire business cycle, helping them understand consumer behaviour over time. The report looks at major consumer lending categories: credit cards, loan on cards, personal loans, revolving lines, mortgages, and auto loans, focusing primarily on three dimensions across these categories: originations (new accounts opened), balances (outstanding total and average lending balances) and delinquencies (accounts in payment arears).
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